The Prime Minister's key economic advisor C Rangarajan has pegged agriculture growth at 4.8 per cent for the current financial year on expectation of a record foodgrain, pulses and cotton production buoyed by good rains.
The good performance in agriculture will have a moderating effect on food inflation though depreciation of the rupee may put some upward pressure, said the report of Economic Outlook for 2013-14 released by him.
The report of Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC), headed by Rangarajan, however, recommended promotion of high-value agriculture and reforms in agri-marketing policies including the APMC Acts for boosting further growth.
"Agriculture is projected to grow at 4.8 per cent in 2013-14 as against 1.9 per cent in 2012-13. Early and good monsoon had a huge positive impact on sowing activity. Thus, both kharif and rabi crops are expected to be good, " it said.
The farm sector growth will be higher than the growth trend of over 3.5 per cent in recent years, the report said.
Driven by good monsoon and better reservoir position, PMEAC projected that overall, 2013-14 is likely to see higher output in rice and wheat, and significant gains in coarse cereals and pulses.
"Output of foodgrain can be expected to hit a new record this year. ...Output of pulses may be en route to crossing 20 million tonnes -- the highest output level ever recorded, and nearly double the production level of decade ago," the report said.
The country had harvested record 259.49 million tonnes of foodgrain in 2011-12 crop year (July-June). However, it fell marginally to 255.36 million tonnes last year.