Nifty May Fall Another 1,000 Points? Market Expert Flags 5% Downside Risk

Indian markets face fresh uncertainty despite improving domestic indicators, a stronger rupee and record mutual fund inflows. In this conversation, Sameer Dalal, President, Natverlal & Sons Stockbrokers flags global uncertainty, potential US tariff action linked to Russian oil and unpredictable crude and shipping costs as key risks for Dalal Street. The bigger concern? Liquidity. If markets fall further and mutual fund returns turn negative, investor confidence could weaken, SIP growth may slow and redemptions could rise. That could put foreign and domestic institutional investors on the selling side together. The expert warns that the Nifty could see another 5% downside in the short term, even as the long-term India story remains intact. The strategy: invest progressively, stay cautious and focus on fundamentally strong, stock-specific opportunities.