Budget 2026 Explainer: What The Data Says About India’s Economy

As India heads into Union Budget 2026, the macroeconomic backdrop appears relatively strong. Economic growth has remained robust, inflation is well below the RBI’s comfort zone, and foreign exchange reserves are at record highs- giving policymakers greater room to manoeuvre. This explainer breaks down the key numbers shaping Budget 2026, including GDP growth trends, inflation dynamics, fiscal deficit targets, tax collections, and the external sector outlook. With consumption recovering and monetary policy remaining accommodative, the government faces the crucial task of balancing growth priorities with fiscal discipline. The choices made in this budget will be closely watched, as they are expected to set the direction for reforms, capital expenditure, and India’s next phase of economic expansion.