Dec 09, 2022 2022 has been a volatile year for markets both in India and globally. How will 2023 turn out to be for the Indian stock markets? What are the portends for the Indian markets? How will macro factors play out and what will be the impact of politics? What will the impact of populism and ‘revdinomics’ be? Be prepared for fiscally disastrous election promises in the run-up to 2024 #LokSabha polls #Congress stormed to power in #Himachal on the promise of turning the clock back by 18 years to the Old Pension Scheme AAP has already notified OPS in Punjab, but not yet implemented it. Congress-ruled Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh, as well as JMM-ruled Jharkhand, have already reintroduced the Old Pension Scheme. Recently, CAG data showed that expenditure on pension exceeds salary bills for three states and the centre in FY20. With inflation still being one of the key factors to watch out for, it would be interesting to see how things unfold and how swiftly central banks adapt to it. Indian markets have outperformed global peers by a margin. A lot of talks are happening around the recession hitting major global economies in 2023. The key point to note here is if the recession hits hard, then India will also face the heat and it will be very difficult for Indian markets to stay decoupled for long. That said, the Indian economy will still be one of the fastest-growing large economies in FY23 as well with GDP growth expected to be around 6.5-7%. With the macro uncertainty looming above us all, one should not be leveraged at these market levels and not be overly concentrated in any particular sector. Markets will have phases of correction helped by various global macro headwinds. The markets remain in overvalued zone and will have to show earnings upgraded to generate better returns at these valuations, says Srikanth Subramanian, CEO, Kotak Cherry.