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Fruits of perseverance

Fruits of perseverance

Kolkata-based Das is reaping the benefits of disciplined investment. Now, he must rein in the urge to play with stocks and continue to invest regularly to beat inflation.

The year was 1994. Gunendra Kumar Das chose to invest Rs 3,000 in a cement stock rather than a fledgling IT company. His logic was almost infallible: at the peak of his responsibilities, it would have been foolhardy to court high risk by investing in a new sector. Yet, 15 years on, Das regrets the decision.

 
Name
Gunendra Kumar Das
Age
60 years
Monthly income
RS 44,000 (post tax)
Financial dependants
One (wife)
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The reason: the IT company that he had dumped was Infosys. Due to this star-crossed move, Das lost the chance of making an eye-popping profit. To add insult to injury, the cement stock proved to be a dud.

Das doesn’t remember the name of the ill-fated cement company. Call it a deliberate attempt to erase an unpleasant memory or perhaps the only indication of his age—Das is 60 and retired in 2008 as the head of department of the electrical department in an oil company.

But you wouldn’t realise it from his approach to finances, which breaks all stereotypes. He didn’t approach us to check whether he had enough reserves to meet routine expenses. Das is ambitious; he wants to beat inflation and increase his current corpus of about Rs 28 lakh.

Neither is he risk-averse. In fact, Das is geared up to invest more money in equities as most of his responsibilities are over, which boosts his risk appetite. An unconventional strategy indeed, but one that would get a thumbs-up from Joseph Stiglitz, the Nobel laureate who proposed that people should invest most in stocks in old age (see Human Capital vs Financial Capital on www.moneytoday.in).

Das is, of course, blissfully ignorant that he is set to follow the advice of a famous economist. His bet on equities is based on simple financial wisdom and to savour “the high of stock-picking”.

This is why Das holds more stocks than mutual funds. His portfolio consists of 17 stocks, where mid-caps like Moschip Semiconductors share space with bigger names such as Reliance Industries. The current value of this collection is about Rs 2 lakh. Eight mutual funds worth about Rs 53,000 wrap up his equities exposure.

This love affair with stocks, however, is a recent one. The chunk of Das’s investment is in fixed deposits totalling Rs 24 lakh. “During my career, I wanted stable returns. In 1994, I lost about Rs 60,000 in stocks. The incident worked as an equity repellent,” explains Das.

In retrospect, we can say that his corpus would have been significantly larger if he had had the courage to stick to equities, especially mutual funds, for the long term. But thanks to a good savings rate, Das managed to achieve most of his goals even by investing in debt instruments. It’s an important lesson for all impatient investors.

The choice of fixed deposits has also augmented his income after retirement. Das gets a pension of Rs 24,000 a month and earns another Rs 20,000 as interest income. With expenses hovering around Rs 20,000 a month—45.5% of his income—Das is in a comfort zone that most of our younger patients can only dream of.

The good part is that Das is aware that his current financial ease is beguiling. “As my income is almost stagnant, I am more vulnerable to the inflation menace,” he frets. According to our calculations, in 14 years, Das’s expenses will exceed his income. So what is the rescue plan?

Check your Will
For people with assets to pass on, making a will is essential, especially if you are in the older age group. Here are the answers to frequently asked questions on wills:
Q. Do I need a will if I want my natural heirs to inherit my property?
A. It is not necessary, but experts recommend making a will as it reduces the possibility of disputes.

Q. Is a will important if I do not have too much wealth?
A. Wills are not for the uber rich only. Anyone who wants to pass on property can make a will.

Q. What is the procedure for making a will?
A. First, make an inventory of all your assets. This includes real estate, equity and debt instruments, gold, heirlooms, etc. After you have decided how to distribute it among the benefactors, write it down in a simple and unambiguous language. It is not mandatory for a will to be written on a stamp paper.

Q. How do I ensure that a will is valid?
A. It must have the signature of two witnesses, stating that the will has been executed in their presence, and with the signature or thumb impression of the testator. Date the will as only the last will is upheld legally. It is best to ask a doctor to certify that you are in sound health while drafting the document.

Q. Should I register the will?
A. Again, it is not mandatory but experts recommend registering a will to reduce the possibility of disputes.
The answer is obvious: a retirement corpus that is meaty enough for the couple to laze around on Hawaiian beaches or go for long walks on Parisian boulevards. To do so, Das must invest in both debt and equities almost equally, with some gold thrown in the mix for diversification. Knowing his addiction, Das can keep aside a small sum for the thrill of stockpicking, but it is mutual funds that should be the mainstay of his equities portfolio from now on.

Currently, Das has only one monthly investment: Rs 6,000 in the Public Provident Fund. After subtracting this amount and the average premiums of Rs 6,667 for two Ulips in the name of his wife, Das has a monthly surplus of Rs 11,333. This amount can be padded up if Das stops paying the premium of both the Ulips. His wife does not earn, so an insurance policy for her is irrelevant. When we asked Das about the rationale for buying Ulips as late as in 2008, he said that it was for “doubling his investment”.

Clearly, this is another case of misselling insurance policies. One Ulip that was bought in 2005 has completed the minimum term for paying premiums. Iris suggests that Das exit this policy and re-allocate the money to mutual funds. We recommend the same strategy for the Ulip bought last year. This means that Das will have to forego the premium of Rs 50,000.

It is difficult to stomach such a loss, but one consolation is that the value of this investment will be substantially low now as the markets have tanked over 50% in one year. Also, the portion of the premium that is actually invested in the first year is quite small. Nonetheless, if Das wishes to continue with this policy, he can pay the premium for the minimum term and then withdraw the money.

After incorporating this suggestion, Das's monthly surplus will surge to Rs 18,000. We suggest that about half of this amount be invested in mutual funds. From his collection, Iris has retained DSP Black Rock World Gold fund as gold funds are one of the very few categories to have given positive returns recently. Also, they help to diversify the portfolio.

The other fund that makes the cut is FT India Balanced as it has a moderate risk. ICICI Prudential Equity and Derivatives fund also gets a thumbs-up because it exploits arbitrage opportunities, which provide a hedge in a falling market and allow investors to enjoy the upside of a market boom.

All the other funds have been booted out as the amount of investment is too insignificant or because they are too complicated for Das. In addition, he can choose from our staple suggestions of HDFC Top 200, HDFC Equity and ICICI Prudential Discovery fund for investing via SIPs. Ideally, Das should invest only in index stocks at this age. From his point of view, this is a boring option, but safe returns never hurt anyone.

For debt, Das should continue his PPF investment and use fixed deposits or debt funds as the other option. With fixed deposits he can create a ladder of maturity period so that he is never cash-rich at one time and cash-starved at another. An important expense at this age is medical bills. Das does not have a health insurance policy, but fortunately, his previous employer pays for all medical expenses. This removes a huge burden from his monthly cash flow.

Most of Das’s financial goals will be easily met by this plan. He is concerned about inflation upsetting the apple cart in the future. But this possibility seems remote (see Riding on Inflation) provided he sticks to his life-long mantra of disciplined investment. Das’s dream of a carefree retirement seems set to come true.

Revisiting past patients
We do a quick check-up to monitor the health of our past patients’ portfolios

Tejinder Pal Singh

Age: 39 years

Financial dependants: Three

Old asset allocation
Cash: 3%
Equity: 1%
Debt: 34%
Real estate: 2%

What we diagnosed
- Very low equity exposure.
- Very small investible surplus.
- Inadequate life insurance cover.

What we prescribed
- Increase equity exposure by investing in mutual funds via SIPS.
- Invest in HDFC Equity, DSP BR Opportunities or Franklin India Prima Plus.
- Prepay the home loan partially.
- Convert money-back plan into paid-up policy. Buy a term plan of about Rs 20 lakh.

What he followed
- Prepaid the home loan partially.
- Invested in DSP BR Opportunities fund.

What he did not
- Buy a term plan.
- Increase his equity exposure adequately.
Pre-paying the home loan partially has reduced the burden on Singh’s finances. Now he should concentrate on building an equities portfolio immediately as this is indispensable to his goal of a retirement corpus.

"I would have preferred a more detailed explanation for the mutual fund recommendations." 


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