
Geopolitical tensions, led by U.S. intervention in Venezuela, dominate early 2026 sentiment, sustaining volatility alongside U.S. tariff threats on India. Analyst Abhishek Basumallick expects markets to remain range-bound until clearer earnings visibility emerges. Safe-haven gold retains structural bullishness due to central-bank buying, while oil faces uncertain direction despite potential Venezuelan supply increase. Domestic focus shifts to Q3 earnings: banking, autos, select chemicals, capital goods, and defense appear promising. IT faces muted near-term growth from cautious client spending and AI transition risks—mid-caps like Persistent and Coforge offer relative resilience. Avoid rushing into 2026 new-age IPOs, wait 1-2 quarters post-listing for clarity.