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How Military Conflict Can Strain India’s Finances?

How Military Conflict Can Strain India’s Finances?

Karishma Asoodani
Karishma Asoodani
  • New Delhi,
  • May 14, 2025,
  • Updated May 14, 2025, 5:06 PM IST

Military conflicts between neighbouring countries do more than shake borders — they rattle economies too. While full-blown war hasn't erupted, escalations under Operation Sindoor could stretch India's finances. In 1999, the Kargil war pushed the fiscal deficit to 5.2%. If tensions rise now, FY26 could see a similar strain — especially in defence spending. With defence budgets already rising to 7.6% in FY25, any further increase could derail the Centre’s fiscal roadmap. That might mean trimming the Rs 11.2 lakh crore capital expenditure plan, tolerating a slip in the 4.4% deficit target, or squeezing more from revenue — all under economic uncertainty. Watch Business Today TVs special explainer on this.

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