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TCS to declare December quarter earnings today; factors to watch out for

TCS to declare December quarter earnings today; factors to watch out for

Investors should not expect any surprises from the IT major as recent floods in China may have negatively impacted Q3 numbers as warned by company itself last month.

Aprajita Sharma
  • New Delhi,
  • Updated Jan 12, 2016 2:08 PM IST
TCS to declare December quarter earnings today; factors to watch out forBroking firm Religare Securities expect TCS to record 1.5 per cent of sequential revenue growth as compared to 3 per cent logged in the September quarter. Photo: Reuters

Country's largest software services firm Tata Consultancy Services is all set to announce its December quarterly earnings on Tuesday post market hours amid pessimistic sentiment on Dalal Street.
 
Investors should not expect any surprises from the IT major as recent floods in China may have negatively impacted Q3 numbers as warned by company itself last month. On top of it, the third quarter traditionally remains a weak quarter on account of furloughs and less number of working days.

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Broking firm Religare Securities expect TCS to record 1.5 per cent of sequential revenue growth as compared to 3 per cent logged in the September quarter, while Edelweiss Securities expects this to come in at around 0.9 per cent.
 
Among key factors to watch out, market expert Sudip Bandyopadhyay said the net results of cross-currency headwinds and company's efforts on digital and acquisition growth front must be focused upon.

ALSO READ: TCS Q3 PAT expected at Rs 5,424 crore, up 2.6%; stock slips 2%

"The last five-six quarters have not been good for TCS. They have not been able to beat the market expectations. Its nearest competitors Infosys and Cognizant are also growing well. They are picking up fast. Therefore, investors will closely monitor third quarter performance of TCS to look for future growth prospects," added Bandyopadhyay.

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Here are key factors to dig out from the books of TCS:

1) Impact of cross-currency fluctuation on growth

Cross-currency headwind is a term used to describe possible losses due to volatility in various currencies.

While rupee depreciation will help TCS report improved margins, the movement of US dollar against other major currencies may balance out gains in terms of dollar revenues. During the quarter, the euro, pound and Australian dollar depreciated close to six per cent, five per cent and 7.8 per cent, respectively, against the US dollar.
 
"We expect muted growth... Large-caps are likely to report tepid dollar revenue growth of 0.3-1.1 per cent quarter-on-quarter with Chennai floods exacerbating the seasonal weakness in Q3, particularly for TCS and Wipro," reported PTI quoting Religare Securities.

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2) Chennai Floods

TCS had already warned investors last month that the company may face 'material impact' due to floods in Chennai which in turn will affect the December quarter revenues.

Investors will closely watch how much loss the company incurred owing to one-off event risk of Chennai and how much of it will linger on in the coming quarters.

3) Digital revenues

Among four IT giants, TCS is riding the digital wave fastest. The company reported 10.3 per cent sequential revenue growth in digital business in constant currency terms in the second quarter.


ALSO READ: IT firms post mixed Q2 earnings; digitization paints rosy picture

"We will have to see how much digital revenues TCS gained in the third quarter because it is an emerging area where management focus is strong," said Bandyopadhyay.

4) Acquisitions

TCS has been slow on its acquisition drive as compared to peers but have been actively looking at it of late. For instance, TCS had earlier withdrawn from talks to buy the Perot IT business after failed consensus on price. But IT services major is back on the negotiating table to compete against other rivals for the Dell's Perot IT business.

5) Management commentary

More important than the third quarter performance will be the management commentary on 2016 IT budgets and growth outlook for the fiscal year 2017 as to how it plans to maintain its pole position in the IT sector defeating competitors.

Published on: Jan 12, 2016 8:27 AM IST
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