Will stock market investors pay heed to the markets regulator is to be seen today. Market analysts so far believe any impact, if at all, would be knee-jerk and short-term in nature.
SEBI said the markets regulator had by January 3 completed twenty–two out of twenty–four investigations into the Adani group. Subsequently, one more investigation was completed in March 2024, and one remaining investigation is close to completion.
Vinit Bolinjkar of Ventura Securities does not see Hindenburg allegations as serious. "They are recycling of the same thing. They are trying to connect one event around and into the other, without giving any evidence of criminality. It is old wine in a new bottle, recycled and desperate."
Bolinjkar said though the report could have some impact on Adani stocks and the market in the short term, they should recover soon. Bathini said any steep fall in Adani group stocks could be a buying opportunity.
"Thoda zyada ho gaya, I feel, basically they have gone into sensationalism. There is hardly any substance," Deepak Shenoy of Capitalmind said in a post on X.
Stock prices are slaves to earnings, said Kranthi Bathini, Director of Equity Strategy at WealthMills Securities.
Bathini noted that he would be more concerned if the Hindenburg report raised issues that could impact the Adani group’s earnings. He remarked that aside from the allegations concerning the SEBI Chair, "Most of the claims in the report are already known to the market. Such reports have circulated for some time. Except for a potential knee-jerk reaction lasting a day or two, I doubt the fresh report will significantly harm the Adani group’s earnings potential in the medium to long term."
A market analyst, who did not wish to be named, said the allegations on a sitting SEBI Chair are serious. "This could be the first time that fingers are being pointed at the sitting SEBI Chair. It can impact markets as, whatever said and done, the allegations are serious. They have denied it, and it is expected. This could turn into more of a political issue," he said.
Later, SEBI said it has an adequate internal mechanisms for addressing issues relating to conflict of interest, which include disclosure framework and provision for recusal.
"It is noted that relevant disclosures required in terms of holdings of securities and their transfers have been made by the Chairperson from time to time. Chairperson has also recused herself in matters involving potential conflicts of interest."