Is Iran Heading Toward Civil War? Rising Risks Could Trigger Global Energy And Security Crisis

Iran remains a pivotal yet volatile force in West Asia, with rising risks of internal instability. While the regime currently holds firm- bolstered by a “rally around the flag” effect amid external conflict- uncertainty surrounds future leadership under Mojtaba Khamenei. Public support appears fragile, and prolonged war could trigger unrest, weakening internal cohesion. A potential civil war would be catastrophic, possibly displacing tens of millions and overwhelming neighboring regions. With vast military capabilities and control over the critical Strait of Hormuz, any instability could disrupt global energy supplies. Ethnic divisions further heighten the risk, making Iran a potential flashpoint with far-reaching global consequences.