India projected to grow 6.2% in 2026
India is projected to record 6.2% real GDP growth in 2026, making it the fastest-growing major economy in the Visual Capitalist comparison. The projection follows estimated growth of 6.6% in 2025, keeping India well ahead of other large economies.
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According to Reserve Bank of India's official press release, India’s economy began 2026-27 on a strong note, with real GDP growth accelerating to 7.8% in Q1, riding on manufacturing and services, while real GVA rose 8.2%. Investments rose by 11.9%; household consumption grew 7.1% and exports grew by 12.0%. This momentum continued into July, with industrial production up 6.7%, while cumulative merchandise and services exports during April-July rose 13.16% year-on-year.
India’s growth rate is projected to be more than three times that of several advanced economies, highlighting the continuing difference between emerging and developed markets.
Fastest-growing major economies in 2026
| Rank |
Country |
Real GDP Growth 2026 |
|---|
| 1 |
India |
6.2% |
| 2 |
Indonesia |
4.9% |
| 3 |
China |
4.2% |
| 4 |
United States |
2.1% |
| 5 |
Brazil |
1.9% |
| 6 |
Russia |
1.0% |
| 7 |
France |
0.9% |
| 8 |
Germany |
0.9% |
| 9 |
United Kingdom |
1.3% |
| 10 |
Japan |
0.6% |
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook projections as presented by Visual Capitalist.
Indonesia and China maintain strong growth
Indonesia is projected to expand by 4.9% in 2026, matching its projected growth rate for 2025. This puts the Southeast Asian economy behind India but significantly ahead of most advanced economies.
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China, meanwhile, is projected to grow by 4.2% in 2026, compared with 4.8% in 2025. Despite the moderation, its projected expansion remains among the strongest recorded by major economies in the comparison.
Advanced economies see slower expansion
The growth outlook is considerably more moderate for several developed economies. The US economy is projected to grow 2.1% in 2026, while the UK is expected to expand 1.3%.
Japan is projected to record just 0.6% growth, while France and Germany are each forecast to grow by 0.9%. Brazil is projected at 1.9%, while Russia is expected to grow by 1.0%.