Utrecht earth scientists Junjie Wang and Jack Middelburg have built the first-ever global model tracking oxygen's full journey through rivers, lakes, and reservoirs. “With this model, we offer the most complete possible understanding of this cycle on a large scale, so that one can see oxygen-related problems coming, get to know the causes, and hopefully intervene in time,” Middelburg told phys.org.
Their findings are clear: inland waters now consume more oxygen than they produce. As a result, they’ve become massive sinks of atmospheric oxygen — an unexpected twist in Earth's oxygen balance.
“More farming, more wastewater, more dams, and a warmer climate — they all change how our freshwater ecosystems function,” says Wang. With excess nutrients flowing in, algae blooms thrive — only to die off and suck up oxygen as they decay.
According to Middelburg, two main human activities are accelerating this crisis: nutrient runoff from over-fertilization and the slowing of freshwater flows caused by dams and reservoirs. These changes have quietly but profoundly altered the way oxygen moves and vanishes in freshwater.
Rising temperatures, while a factor, are less to blame than once thought. “Until now, the consensus in the scientific literature has always been that the rise in temperature is primarily causing this acceleration. But our model shows that warming only contributes about 10–20% to this phenomenon,” Wang explains.
The scale is staggering. Though they cover only a small slice of Earth’s surface, inland waters now pull nearly 1 billion tonnes of oxygen from the atmosphere every year — half as much as the entire ocean emits back.
“We can’t ignore inland waters in global climate and oxygen budgets anymore,” Wang warns. “They’re changing faster than we thought, and they’re crucial pieces of the Earth system puzzle.”