The deterioration is significant because it cannot be explained solely by pandemic-related disruption. According to the FT, scores in all three subjects generally peaked around 2012, with several countries recording larger declines between 2012 and 2018 than during the Covid-affected years.
Adults are showing similar weaknesses
The same pattern is emerging among adults. The OECD’s latest assessment of adult skills found declines in reasoning and problem-solving across age groups, suggesting that weakening performance is not simply a consequence of younger generations having experienced disrupted schooling.
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One particularly striking finding cited by the FT is that 25% of adults in high-income countries are unable to use mathematical reasoning when reviewing and evaluating the validity of statements. In the US, the proportion rises to 35%.
Difficulty concentrating is also rising
The trend also appears to extend to people’s ability to concentrate and learn. The FT points to the long-running Monitoring the Future study, which has surveyed 18-year-olds since the 1980s. While the proportion reporting difficulty thinking, concentrating or learning new things remained broadly stable through the 1990s and 2000s, it began rising rapidly in the mid-2010s.
| Indicator |
Finding |
|---|
| Adults unable to apply mathematical reasoning — high-income countries |
25% |
| Adults unable to apply mathematical reasoning — US |
35% |
| OECD average PISA reading score — early 2010s |
~500 |
| OECD average PISA reading score — 2025 |
~466 |
| OECD average PISA maths score — early 2010s |
~502 |
| OECD average PISA maths score — 2025 |
~470 |
| OECD average PISA science score — around 2010 |
~505 |
| OECD average PISA science score — 2025 |
~486 |
| Inflection point in reported difficulties thinking/concentrating/learning |
Mid-2010s |
| Americans reading a book in the previous year (2022) |
Below 50% |
The timing is notable because it coincides with a fundamental change in how people consume information. The FT argues that the issue may be broader than declining reading habits, pointing instead to a shift from deliberate engagement with information towards passive consumption, infinite feeds, notifications and constant context-switching.
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Digital media may be changing how we think
Research suggests that active and intentional use of digital technology can be benign or beneficial, while some newer patterns of use can affect attention, working memory and self-regulation.
The decline in reading is nevertheless part of the picture. The FT notes that in 2022, fewer than half of Americans reported having read a book during the previous year. But the simultaneous deterioration in numeracy and problem-solving suggests that the underlying issue may be a broader erosion of the capacity for sustained mental focus.
England stands out from the decline
The international PISA comparison also contains an important exception. The FT’s chart shows England bucking the broader decline, with its 2025 scores remaining comparatively strong across reading, mathematics and science, while Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have followed downward trends.
The findings do not necessarily mean that underlying human intelligence has diminished. Rather, the FT argues that while intellectual capacity may remain intact, the modern information environment could be making it increasingly difficult for people to focus, reason and effectively apply what they know.
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